DSGE Models and Central Banks

نویسندگان

چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

DSGE models and central banks, September 2008

Over the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and forecasting. This paper reviews some issues and challenges surrounding the use of these models at central ban...

متن کامل

Predictive Likelihood Comparisons with DSGE and DSGE-VAR Models

In this paper we treat the issue of forecasting with DSGE and DSGE-VAR models, with particular attention to Bayesian estimation of the predictive distribution and its mean and covariance. As a novel contribution to the forecasting literature, which extends beyond (log-linearized) DSGE models and DSGE-VARs, we show how the value of the h-step-ahead marginal and joint predictive likelihood for a ...

متن کامل

Using Dsge Models

This paper is intended to be pedagogical rather than a presentation of original research. We describe a simple dynamic, stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with capital utilization, capital adjustment costs, and a simple Cobb-Douglas technology to illustrate how DSGE models can be used to explain the past and to forecast the future. We identify one method to directly estimate latent var...

متن کامل

Forecasting with DSGE Models

In this paper we review the methodology of forecasting with log-linearised DSGE models using Bayesian methods. We focus on the estimation of their predictive distributions, with special attention being paid to the mean and the covariance matrix of h-steps ahead forecasts. In the empirical analysis, we examine the forecasting performance of the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM) that has been designed f...

متن کامل

Breaks in DSGE models

In this paper, we investigate the consequences of breaks in mean for the estimates of model parameters and the resulting inferences about the structure of the economy and policy implications. We explore the behavior of DSGE models that undergo occasional, but permanent shocks to the parameters that determine their steady state. We present a method for approximating the state space representatio...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal

سال: 2008

ISSN: 1556-5068

DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1263879